نوع مقاله : مقاله پژوهشی
نویسندگان
1 دانشجوی دکتری آینده‌پژوهی، دانشگاه بین المللی امام خمینی (ره)، قزوین، ایران.
2 دکترای آینده‌پژوهی و مدرس دانشکده مدیریت، علم و فناوری دانشگاه صنعتی امیرکبیر، تهران، ایران.
3 دکترای آینده‌پژوهی، مرکز تحقیقات سیاست علمی کشور، تهران، ایران.
چکیده
کلیدواژه‌ها
موضوعات
عنوان مقاله [English]
نویسندگان [English]
Artificial intelligence as an evolving technology, great economic and social benefits have been drawn for the future. This technology can be created in the way of life, work, learning, discovery and revolution. This research has been conducted with future research and the aim of drawing scenarios for the future of Iran's labor market with the emergence of artificial intelligence the horizon of 2032. The current research is applied in terms of its purpose and in terms of its nature and method, it is an exploratory description based on a qualitative approach in order to conceptualize and provide analysis. The methods of gathering information and the method of analysis and analysis included the examination of scientific and specialized libraries, brainstorming, news panels, and the use of future research methods such as the future cycle, stakeholder analysis, and the global business network scenario model. Using the combination of these methods, 9 actors, 52 drivers and four uncertainties were identified, and as a result of the interaction of uncertainties, 16 uncertain states were created, which were finally drawn with the approval of experts, 5 plausible scenarios. These five scenarios, which were named "smart service", "monopoly", "sarafa world", "destructive competition" and "markets", can be used to help policy making in the field of market and work in this field.
کلیدواژه‌ها [English]
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