نوع مقاله : مقاله پژوهشی
موضوعات
عنوان مقاله English
نویسندگان English
In the contemporary era, the concept of war has evolved into hybrid warfare, shaped by complex societal transformations and the diversification of confrontation tools. This research investigates the primary question: What are the key driving forces behind the United States' hybrid warfare policy against the Islamic Republic of Iran, and what strategies can Iran employ to counter it? The study adopts realism as its theoretical framework, aligning with the nature of hybrid warfare and U.S. foreign policy behavior. Utilizing a qualitative methodology based on documentary analysis and scenario-building techniques, the research identifies critical drivers of U.S. hybrid warfare, including regional and international political tensions, economic sanctions, cyberwarfare, and the influence of new media. In response, Iran's counterstrategies—namely, active diplomacy, a resistance economy, cybersecurity enhancement, military deterrence, and promotion of social cohesion—are analyzed. Four potential future scenarios are developed based on these dynamics: "reduction of tensions," "escalation of tensions," "continuation of the current status quo," and "full-scale war." The findings indicate that the most probable scenario is the continuation of the current situation, characterized by limited engagement and sustained indirect pressure. However, the implementation of Iran's flexible and multidimensional strategies may reduce the likelihood of crisis scenarios and enhance national resilience, thereby improving the prospects for a de-escalatory outcome.
کلیدواژهها English