An Evaluation of the Process of Development in Iran in the Recent Century with an Emphasis on the Theory of Chaos and Game Theory

Change is a basic concept in analyzing development. In usual analyses influenced by Newtonian paradigm, change is considered transformation in the structure of the society. On the contrary, the structure of institutional analysis formed in the framework of quantum paradigm considers change as the transformation of the whole structure of the society. Of course, transformation of the whole structure of the society entails change in the components of the society. In other words, interaction between structure and agency or macro and micro social levels, determines the process of change in the society. A branch of new institutionalists, especially Douglas North (2009), define development as the process of having access to property rights. In this case, the relevance of structure and agency refers to the importance of institutions as the rule of the game, because the dynamism of accessibility is determined out of the result of the game between different social groups. In addition, the relevancy of institutions will depend on initial conditions and the proceeded path. Therefore, delineating the dynamism of change in society needs an analysis of the historical periods of interaction between structure and agency as well as a study of the process of change as breaking dependency on institutions leading to accessibility based on the property rights.;
This article tries to predict the probable paths of development in the future, considering the attractiveness of relevant components of Iranian society and by devising an institutional model for analyzing development by combining theory of chaos and game theory and to evaluate development experience in Iran.;