پژوهشکده تحقیقات راهبردی مجمع تشخیص مصلحت نظامStrategy1028-310218420110220Family, Family Capital and Challenges Facing Our SocietyFamily, Family Capital and Challenges Facing Our Society124389FAJournal Article19700101One of the achievements of sociology in the last century was resorting;
to the theory of social capital. Although a consensus on the meaning of;
social capital has not yet been achieved among sociologists and social;
sciences thinkers, its meaning variations have paved the way for being;
looked from new perspectives. This article first, with due attention to the;
roots of the concept of social capital, redefines it to cover family capital.;
Then, it introduces three components which constitute the concept of family;
capital and dicuss the threats addressed to it in the framework of challenges;
facing Iranian society. Finally, it presents some recommendations for;
enhancing family capital. Since this article approaches family affairs from;
social capital perspective for the first time, it also emphasizes the necessity;
of conducting research in this field in the future.One of the achievements of sociology in the last century was resorting;
to the theory of social capital. Although a consensus on the meaning of;
social capital has not yet been achieved among sociologists and social;
sciences thinkers, its meaning variations have paved the way for being;
looked from new perspectives. This article first, with due attention to the;
roots of the concept of social capital, redefines it to cover family capital.;
Then, it introduces three components which constitute the concept of family;
capital and dicuss the threats addressed to it in the framework of challenges;
facing Iranian society. Finally, it presents some recommendations for;
enhancing family capital. Since this article approaches family affairs from;
social capital perspective for the first time, it also emphasizes the necessity;
of conducting research in this field in the future.https://rahbord.csr.ir/article_124389_ff6fdc676c12cffb20c7a29a7a4c72a0.pdfپژوهشکده تحقیقات راهبردی مجمع تشخیص مصلحت نظامStrategy1028-310218420110220Studying the Role of Oil Funds in Controlling Macroeconomic Instability in Oil Exporting CountriesStudying the Role of Oil Funds in Controlling Macroeconomic Instability in Oil Exporting Countries124390FAJournal Article19700101il exporting country, the negative effects of international oil;
price variations extend to monetary policy, prices, exchange rate and other;
macroeconomic indicators. Drastic changes in international oil prices can;
affect monetary aggregates, directly through volatility in external inflows,;
and indirectly through changes in fiscal responses to the shock. The;
monetary impact can in turn lead to price and exchange rate variations as;
well as inflation.;
To reduce the macroeconomic instability arising from the volatility of;
oil income and induce the government to save part of oil revenues for future;
generations, oil funds have become increasingly popular in oil exporting;
countries.;
Oil funds could help mitigate the transfer of oil price shocks to;
monetary policy and eventually to prices and the exchange rate. When some;
5;
It is concluded that the labour law should be amended to make it more;
flexible and to promote labour relations. Given the fact that any amendment;
requires a change of attitude towards labour relations and the interests of;
workers and employers, partnership relation model (PRM) is recommended;
for labour relations in Iran.il exporting country, the negative effects of international oil;
price variations extend to monetary policy, prices, exchange rate and other;
macroeconomic indicators. Drastic changes in international oil prices can;
affect monetary aggregates, directly through volatility in external inflows,;
and indirectly through changes in fiscal responses to the shock. The;
monetary impact can in turn lead to price and exchange rate variations as;
well as inflation.;
To reduce the macroeconomic instability arising from the volatility of;
oil income and induce the government to save part of oil revenues for future;
generations, oil funds have become increasingly popular in oil exporting;
countries.;
Oil funds could help mitigate the transfer of oil price shocks to;
monetary policy and eventually to prices and the exchange rate. When some;
5;
It is concluded that the labour law should be amended to make it more;
flexible and to promote labour relations. Given the fact that any amendment;
requires a change of attitude towards labour relations and the interests of;
workers and employers, partnership relation model (PRM) is recommended;
for labour relations in Iran.https://rahbord.csr.ir/article_124390_aa87ebb7793eaf8ea04a51b9e94f173a.pdfپژوهشکده تحقیقات راهبردی مجمع تشخیص مصلحت نظامStrategy1028-310218420110220Strategic Considerations in Policy Formulations in Iranian Oil and Gas Upstream SectorsStrategic Considerations in Policy Formulations in Iranian Oil and Gas Upstream Sectors124391FAJournal Article19700101Securing the interests of the present and the future generations in nonrenewable;
hydrocarbon reserves are of prime significance in Iranian oil and;
gas policy formulations. Despite the massive volume of the initial oil in;
place (IOIP), the rate of natural depletion is rather low due to the specific;
properties of Iranian oil reservoirs. This implies the vital importance of;
enhanced oil recovery (EOR) programs. Moreover, the Iranian giant and;
super-giants oil fields have now reached their second-half of their long-life;
production profile, which adds further importance to the EOR;
considerations. According the available research work done in this regard,;
NO.57, Winter 2011;
6;
are missing. It also tries to compare the two based on those indicators which;
can be calculated through the available information.;
In conclusion, the paper finds that there is a big difference between;
Iran’s labor market and what has been defined as decent work. It also;
suggests providing a national comprehensive plan for decent work in the;
country.Securing the interests of the present and the future generations in nonrenewable;
hydrocarbon reserves are of prime significance in Iranian oil and;
gas policy formulations. Despite the massive volume of the initial oil in;
place (IOIP), the rate of natural depletion is rather low due to the specific;
properties of Iranian oil reservoirs. This implies the vital importance of;
enhanced oil recovery (EOR) programs. Moreover, the Iranian giant and;
super-giants oil fields have now reached their second-half of their long-life;
production profile, which adds further importance to the EOR;
considerations. According the available research work done in this regard,;
NO.57, Winter 2011;
6;
are missing. It also tries to compare the two based on those indicators which;
can be calculated through the available information.;
In conclusion, the paper finds that there is a big difference between;
Iran’s labor market and what has been defined as decent work. It also;
suggests providing a national comprehensive plan for decent work in the;
country.https://rahbord.csr.ir/article_124391_4b7e39c3dbc0be71f5481dc5ecf2ea05.pdfپژوهشکده تحقیقات راهبردی مجمع تشخیص مصلحت نظامStrategy1028-310218420110220Income Gap: a Security Concern for Countries in Transition: the Case Study of IranIncome Gap: a Security Concern for Countries in Transition: the Case Study of Iran124392FAJournal Article19700101Income gap has led to a new social class division during the accelerated process of implementing development plans or followed by the adoption of welfare policies, especially in countries having vast energy resources. The unbalanced formation of high, middle and lower classes is among the signs of this trend in countries in transition. Iran is a clear example of this phenomenon. This article studies the implications of economic growth – the inevitable emergence of new social classes – from a security point of view.;
The emergence of middle class has brought about many developments in various social, political and cultural institutions. This social class pursues its own demands and needs leading to special forms of resistance against the established power.;
It seeks changes in power distribution and equal political and social opportunities. The emergence of the lower class is another consequence of economic growth or income redistribution policies. This class also expresses some forms of resistance and change - seeking resulting from their dissatisfaction with their conditions (poverty, discrimination and unmet needs).;
The article studies the theories of social change and also views on security studies, especially social security. Findings show that many change – seekers belong to the lower class and also the middle class expresses resistance and dissatisfaction in the society. The article studies social unrests in Iran during the last two decades by a combination of library methods and social survey. It seems that solving security problems requires paying more attention to the long-term security implications of development plans. Taking the wealth distribution and redistribution policies into account and imposing structural constraints to integrate created classes could reduce to some extent the security implications of this trend.;Income gap has led to a new social class division during the accelerated process of implementing development plans or followed by the adoption of welfare policies, especially in countries having vast energy resources. The unbalanced formation of high, middle and lower classes is among the signs of this trend in countries in transition. Iran is a clear example of this phenomenon. This article studies the implications of economic growth – the inevitable emergence of new social classes – from a security point of view.;
The emergence of middle class has brought about many developments in various social, political and cultural institutions. This social class pursues its own demands and needs leading to special forms of resistance against the established power.;
It seeks changes in power distribution and equal political and social opportunities. The emergence of the lower class is another consequence of economic growth or income redistribution policies. This class also expresses some forms of resistance and change - seeking resulting from their dissatisfaction with their conditions (poverty, discrimination and unmet needs).;
The article studies the theories of social change and also views on security studies, especially social security. Findings show that many change – seekers belong to the lower class and also the middle class expresses resistance and dissatisfaction in the society. The article studies social unrests in Iran during the last two decades by a combination of library methods and social survey. It seems that solving security problems requires paying more attention to the long-term security implications of development plans. Taking the wealth distribution and redistribution policies into account and imposing structural constraints to integrate created classes could reduce to some extent the security implications of this trend.;https://rahbord.csr.ir/article_124392_51890e3d6b63de8370c9f63eab3882c0.pdfپژوهشکده تحقیقات راهبردی مجمع تشخیص مصلحت نظامStrategy1028-310218420110220An Estimate of the Impact of Bread and Energy Carriers Price Correction on Household ExpenditureAn Estimate of the Impact of Bread and Energy Carriers Price Correction on Household Expenditure124393FAJournal Article19700101Bread is an important source of calorie intake for urban and rural households. The government allocates very high subsidies for bread consumption annually. This has kept low the share of bread expenditures in household basket. On the other hand, the continuation of this trend is not possible, due to the budget limitation of government, and the inefficiency of bread production, distribution and consumption system. The government has placed the reform of subsidy system on its agenda. The important point is the measurement of subsidy elimination impact on household expenditure, which constitutes the subjext matter of this article. The methodology of this research is Social Accounts Matrix (SAM).So, its main results show that the elimination of bread and energy carriers subsidies will lead to a 33 percent increase in urban household expenditure and 40 percent in rural household expenditure.Bread is an important source of calorie intake for urban and rural households. The government allocates very high subsidies for bread consumption annually. This has kept low the share of bread expenditures in household basket. On the other hand, the continuation of this trend is not possible, due to the budget limitation of government, and the inefficiency of bread production, distribution and consumption system. The government has placed the reform of subsidy system on its agenda. The important point is the measurement of subsidy elimination impact on household expenditure, which constitutes the subjext matter of this article. The methodology of this research is Social Accounts Matrix (SAM).So, its main results show that the elimination of bread and energy carriers subsidies will lead to a 33 percent increase in urban household expenditure and 40 percent in rural household expenditure.https://rahbord.csr.ir/article_124393_7ff7dab342605bced8e82dc1bf4a9cc6.pdfپژوهشکده تحقیقات راهبردی مجمع تشخیص مصلحت نظامStrategy1028-310218420110220A Study on the Impact of Free Economy on Environmental Degradation in IranA Study on the Impact of Free Economy on Environmental Degradation in Iran124394FAJournal Article19700101Economy is related to natural resources and environment in the various dimensions of production and consumption. Population growth along with economic development are responsible for the low quality of resources as well as the high level of pollutants which are unbearable for natural environment. In the early 1990s, some attempts made for the extension of national accounts system to cover environmental degradation and income inequality which led to the introduction of the new concept of "green national product". By taking environmental degredation and natural resources depreciation into account, the criterion of green GNP, instead of GNP, can be obtained.;
Although free trade is often considered a positive and effective factor in economic development and higher level of welfare, increasing trade without taking environmental considerations into account and merely motivated by getting access to other markets, in some countries, has led to the extensive and improper use of resources and energy which results in pollution and emission of greenhouse gases.;
The study of the impact of free economy on environmental degradation during the period 1974-1996 shows that there is a positive correlation between the emission of dioxide carbon gas and environmental degradation;Economy is related to natural resources and environment in the various dimensions of production and consumption. Population growth along with economic development are responsible for the low quality of resources as well as the high level of pollutants which are unbearable for natural environment. In the early 1990s, some attempts made for the extension of national accounts system to cover environmental degradation and income inequality which led to the introduction of the new concept of "green national product". By taking environmental degredation and natural resources depreciation into account, the criterion of green GNP, instead of GNP, can be obtained.;
Although free trade is often considered a positive and effective factor in economic development and higher level of welfare, increasing trade without taking environmental considerations into account and merely motivated by getting access to other markets, in some countries, has led to the extensive and improper use of resources and energy which results in pollution and emission of greenhouse gases.;
The study of the impact of free economy on environmental degradation during the period 1974-1996 shows that there is a positive correlation between the emission of dioxide carbon gas and environmental degradation;https://rahbord.csr.ir/article_124394_812ab699b71618a9d098ca21166d6d82.pdfپژوهشکده تحقیقات راهبردی مجمع تشخیص مصلحت نظامStrategy1028-310218420110220A Strategy for the Industrialization of Construction in the 20-year Vision (a Feasibility Study of Using Light Steel Frame (LSF) Technology in Constructions in Tehran)A Strategy for the Industrialization of Construction in the 20-year Vision (a Feasibility Study of Using Light Steel Frame (LSF) Technology in Constructions in Tehran)124395FAJournal Article19700101This article aims at introducing a modern construction technology and the utilization of LSF system in constructions in Tehran. The main hypothesis is that this system is justified enough from technical, industrial, economic, and cultural aspects to be used in housing construction in Tehran.;
For this applied study, the data related to climatic, geographical and seismic conditions of Tehran were gathered through library research and analysed by a descriptive approach. Then LSF system is investigated in an analytical approach from two perspectives of structure and architectural constituents with three indices of quality, economy and rapidity. The study concludes that although LSF system ranks B in the table and gains 75- 80 scores out of 100 compared to other 11 famous construction systems, this system is not technically justifiable and permissible in Tehran.;
Eventually, given the rejection of the hypothesis, which was evaluated by a meta-analysis approach, the reliability and validity of the study were tested by a quantitative analysis as well as the Delphi method with Torsten criterion.;This article aims at introducing a modern construction technology and the utilization of LSF system in constructions in Tehran. The main hypothesis is that this system is justified enough from technical, industrial, economic, and cultural aspects to be used in housing construction in Tehran.;
For this applied study, the data related to climatic, geographical and seismic conditions of Tehran were gathered through library research and analysed by a descriptive approach. Then LSF system is investigated in an analytical approach from two perspectives of structure and architectural constituents with three indices of quality, economy and rapidity. The study concludes that although LSF system ranks B in the table and gains 75- 80 scores out of 100 compared to other 11 famous construction systems, this system is not technically justifiable and permissible in Tehran.;
Eventually, given the rejection of the hypothesis, which was evaluated by a meta-analysis approach, the reliability and validity of the study were tested by a quantitative analysis as well as the Delphi method with Torsten criterion.;https://rahbord.csr.ir/article_124395_cd97d98d6e7a7dc4c8ab9ea48e41ea65.pdfپژوهشکده تحقیقات راهبردی مجمع تشخیص مصلحت نظامStrategy1028-310218420110220The Impact of the Free Trade Agreement (FTA) between Iran and Turkey on the Expansion of Non-Oil Export and the Import of Capital and Intermediate Goods to IranThe Impact of the Free Trade Agreement (FTA) between Iran and Turkey on the Expansion of Non-Oil Export and the Import of Capital and Intermediate Goods to Iran124396FAJournal Article19700101This article studies the effects of the Free Trade Agreement (FTA) between Iran and Turkey on the expansion of non-oil export and import of capital and intermediate goods to Iran. For this purpose, the SMART model is employed to determine the trade creation and diversion effects of the agreement. The results demonstrate that the volume of trade and export of Iran would increase after the elimination of tariff barriers between Iran and Turkey. Although, due to the increase of imports over export the trade balance of the country becomes negative, but the large part of the increase relates to the import of capital and intermediate goodsThis article studies the effects of the Free Trade Agreement (FTA) between Iran and Turkey on the expansion of non-oil export and import of capital and intermediate goods to Iran. For this purpose, the SMART model is employed to determine the trade creation and diversion effects of the agreement. The results demonstrate that the volume of trade and export of Iran would increase after the elimination of tariff barriers between Iran and Turkey. Although, due to the increase of imports over export the trade balance of the country becomes negative, but the large part of the increase relates to the import of capital and intermediate goodshttps://rahbord.csr.ir/article_124396_46eb708fd96cf7f4443677862919fa7a.pdfپژوهشکده تحقیقات راهبردی مجمع تشخیص مصلحت نظامStrategy1028-310218420110220Formulating Strategies for Establishing Governance System of Tehran Metropolitan Region (TMR)Formulating Strategies for Establishing Governance System of Tehran Metropolitan Region (TMR)124397FAJournal Article19700101;
Political fragmentation as a main governance problem facing metropolitan regions - existence of various organizations and territories in metropolitan regions without any coordinating framework among them-need to be treated with strategies known as "regionalism" in metropolitan government literature. All strategies of metropolitan regionalism seek to create coordination and cooperation among different independent planning and management organizations and territories in metropolitan regions. This article addresses the application of the strategies of metropolitan regionalism in Tehran metropolitan region aiming at reducing fragmentation impact. It avoids proposing any distinct "metropolitan government model" because of executive constraints in respect of legal and organizational matters in Iran. Instead it proposes a coherent complex of strategies in incrementally mode for ensuring its success;;
Political fragmentation as a main governance problem facing metropolitan regions - existence of various organizations and territories in metropolitan regions without any coordinating framework among them-need to be treated with strategies known as "regionalism" in metropolitan government literature. All strategies of metropolitan regionalism seek to create coordination and cooperation among different independent planning and management organizations and territories in metropolitan regions. This article addresses the application of the strategies of metropolitan regionalism in Tehran metropolitan region aiming at reducing fragmentation impact. It avoids proposing any distinct "metropolitan government model" because of executive constraints in respect of legal and organizational matters in Iran. Instead it proposes a coherent complex of strategies in incrementally mode for ensuring its success;https://rahbord.csr.ir/article_124397_115c8b7cf3c4cfc881c66106163b3789.pdf